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The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century |  | Author: George Friedman
Publisher: Anchor
Category: Book
List Price: $15.95
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Seller: BRILANTI BOOKS
Rating:  183 reviews
Sales Rank: 1956
Media: Paperback
Edition: 1 Reprint
Pages: 288
Number Of Items: 1
Shipping Weight (lbs): 0.7
Dimensions (in): 7.9 x 5.1 x 1
ISBN: 0767923057
Dewey Decimal Number: 303.49
EAN: 9780767923057
ASIN: 0767923057
Publication Date: January 26, 2010
Availability: Usually ships in 1-2 business days
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Amazon.com Review
Amazon Best of the Month, January 2009: "Be Practical, Expect the Impossible." So declares George Friedman, chief intelligence officer and founder of Strategic Forecasting, Inc. (Stratfor), a private intelligence agency whose clients include foreign government agencies and Fortune 500 companies. Gathering information from its global network of operatives and analysts (drawing the nickname "the Shadow CIA"), Stratfor produces thoughtful and genuinely engrossing analysis of international events daily, from possible outcomes of the latest Pakistan/India tensions to the hierarchy of Mexican drug cartels to challenges to Obama's nascent administration. In The Next 100 Years, Friedman undertakes the impossible (or improbable) challenge of forecasting world events through the 21st century. Starting with the premises that "conventional political analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination" and "common sense will be wrong," Friedman maps what he sees as the likeliest developments of the future, some intuitive, some surprising: more (but less catastrophic) wars; Russia's re-emergence as an aggressive hegemonic power; China's diminished influence in international affairs due to traditional social and economic imbalances; and the dawn of an American "Golden Age" in the second half of the century. Friedman is well aware that much of what he predicts will be wrong--unforeseeable events are, of course, unforeseen--but through his interpretation of geopolitics, one gets the sense that Friedman's guess is better than most. --Jon Foro
Product Description
A fascinating, eye-opening and often shocking look at what lies ahead for the U.S. and the world from one of our most incisive futurists.
In his thought-provoking new book, George Friedman, founder of STRATFOR—the preeminent private intelligence and forecasting firm—focuses on what he knows best, the future. Positing that civilization is at the dawn of a new era, he offers a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century all based on his own thorough analysis and research. For example, The U.S.-Jihadist war will be replaced by a new cold war with Russia; China’s role as a world power will diminish; Mexico will become an important force on the geopolitical stage; and new technologies and cultural trends will radically alter the way we live (and fight wars). Riveting reading from first to last, The Next 100 Years is a fascinating exploration of what the future holds for all of us.
For continual, updated analysis and supplemental material, go to www.Stratfor.com
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| Customer Reviews:
Showing reviews 1-5 of 183
 The Future of Warmongering July 13, 2010
Sacramento Book Review (Sacramento, CA)
//The Next 100 Years// is founded on the understandings of geopolitics, a combination of geography and international political strength. This book is both chillingly true and exactly false; true in that much of our existing technologies will lead to some sort of space age weaponry and false in that his determinations of exact dates for military conflicts are too predetermined to ever manifest in the fashion that Friedman describes. But in visiting the basis for the extended text we find many of Friedman's foundations debatable if not outright unstable. His determinations that populations are declining, based on UN reports with no citations, are plausible. But his understanding of economics and the flows of capitalism seem either too effected by ideology or willingly ignorant of certain features. If the US continues to invest in new technology that does not mean we will need to open our borders for immigrant labor. Because of technology we've already seen the export of high-skill labor to other countries where wages are less than their US counterparts. And part of what defines capitalism's growth is a standard level of unemployment, it's a structural necessity. In short this book is full of future military conflicts which smack of both war and fear-mongering. But what else would one expect from the CEO of a Texas think tank?
Reviewed by Joe Atkins
 Loved it - he had me with the Overature June 25, 2010
SUE
1 out of 2 found this review helpful
I admit I'm a big fan of scifi...but I loved this book. I just finished reading it and I'm starting it over again. Fascinating!
 Too big a stretch? June 14, 2010
Stephen Sarrica
0 out of 1 found this review helpful
The first half of this book is excellent. The second half suffers a bit from the author's stretching to try and come up with a space war scenario set a hundred years in the future. He's clearly out of his technical depth there, but his overall take on the geopolitical patterns at play is fascinating
A Star Wars Novel Hidden Inside a Thoughtful Global Analysis June 4, 2010
Nom de Guerre (Castro Valley, CA USA)
3 out of 5 found this review helpful
This was more like two different books stuck together rather than a cohesive volume. It started off with serious analysis of world demography and geography and careened off into an amazing thought experiment about 21st Century Space Wars. I enjoyed the whole thing, but after he started talking about Battle Stars, I stopped taking the book seriously as reasoned analysis.
Also, it wasn't until the epilogue that Friedman confesses he ignores the global warming trend and ongoing progress in genetics and medical science. These trends are likely to have impacts as large or larger than the trends Friedman focuses on. Specifically global warming. Whether you accept the causes (and it doesn't sound like Friedman accepts the human-influenced component) or not, the earth is getting demonstrably warmer. So much so that it is quite possible that many countries (most importantly Russia) that currently lack warm water ports will suddenly have them. Also, a lot more of Canada could suddenly become habitable. I think demographic and geographic changes due to global warming are more likely to impact life in the 21st century than manned Battle Stars.
But, as Friedman notes, he and most of us won't be around to see whether or not these things come to pass.
 the next hundred years May 17, 2010
Christopher L. Moore
1 out of 2 found this review helpful
This is a well thought out forecast of geo-political events for the the next century! Friedman's insights are sometimes surprizing. Often I find myself thinking "duh, of course! Why didn't I think of that?! Some predictions are more obvious than others like the eventual fall of global Chinese, Russian and European influence. Others are more provocative like the rise to center stage of Japanese, Turkey, Polandand ...Mexico! Who'd have thought it? Other fascinating and unsuspected developments in technology include extraterrestial capture of solar energy as the prime source of power, star war scenarios and the continued dominance of the US as the controlling superpower.
A must read!
Showing reviews 1-5 of 183
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